The 2008 Global
Financial Crisis and its impact on Russia.
In 2008,
the global financial and economic crisis began, which manifested itself in the
form of a strong decline in the main economic indicators in most advanced
economies, which subsequently turned into a global recession (slowdown) of the
economy.
The
emergence of the crisis is associated with a number of factors: the general
cyclical nature of economic development; the overheating of the credit market
and the resulting mortgage crisis; high commodity prices (including oil); the
overheating of the stock market. The precursor to the 2008 financial crisis was
the U.S. mortgage crisis, which affected high-risk mortgages in early 2007. The
second wave of the mortgage crisis occurred in 2008 and spread to the segment,
where loans issued by banks are refinanced by state-owned mortgage
corporations. As a result of the fall in property prices by 20%, US homeowners
lost almost $ 5 trillion. The most significant outcome of the first wave of the
crisis was the collapse in May 2008 of the fifth largest American investment
Bank Bear Stearns, which ranked second in the United States among underwriters
of mortgage bonds. The mortgage crisis in the United States caused the
liquidity crisis of world banks in September 2008: banks stopped issuing loans,
in particular loans for the purchase of cars. As a consequence, sales of auto
manufacturers began to decline. Three auto giants Opel, Daimler and Ford
reported a reduction in German production in October. From the real estate
sector, the crisis spread to the real economy production began to decline.
September 15, 2008 the American bank Lehman Brothers filed a bankruptcy lawsuit
and a request for protection from creditors. The bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers
was the largest in U.S. history. Never before has such a powerful financial
institution failed. The collapse of the fourth-largest U.S. investment Bank had
negatively affected major stock prices in many countries and negatively
affected the cost of energy. Oil prices fell from $ 147 per barrel to less than
$ 40. The stock market crash in October 2008 was a record for the US market in
the previous 20 years, for the Japanese market - in history.
During the
two years of the crisis (2008-2009), the largest respectable investment banks
with a hundred-year history burned down. Solomon Brothers and Morgan Stanley
changed their status: investment activity was replaced by commercial. Major
companies such as General Motors, Chrysler and others had turned to their
governments for help. In fact, private debt was nationalized: the largest
financial institutions-Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (USA), holders of $ 14
trillion in private mortgage debt, were bought by the state. Immediately after
the United States, the European and Russian economies were severely affected by
the financial crisis. The first victims of the crisis among Russian banks in
September 2008 were "KIT Finance" and Svyaz-Bank. To repay debts to
counter parties Gazprombank issued "KIT Finance" a loan of 22.5
billion rubles. In September 2008, Svyaz-Bank sold 98% of its shares to
Vnesheconombank. VTB Bank, among a number of other Russian banks had received
state support. At the height of the crisis, Vnesheconombank received a 10-year
subordinated loan worth 200 billion rubles. In addition, VTB attracted funds
from the Bank of Russia on collateral and unsecured auctions. The crisis
quickly spread to the real sector of the economy. Capitalization of Russian
companies decreased by three quarters in September-November 2008; gold and
foreign exchange reserves decreased by 25%. The financial crisis reduced public
confidence in banks and led to an outflow of deposits. In September 2008, the
balances of individuals in the 50 largest Russian banks decreased by 54 billion
rubles, which amounted to 1.2% of the total. The outflow of depositors from the
banking system reduced the financial stability of banks, which led to the
bankruptcy of several large investment and commercial banks. Layoffs of workers,
reduction of wages began.
The
financial crisis also triggered a drop in oil prices. There were problems with
investing in this sector, as well as the risk of slowing down the
implementation of projects to increase oil production. There was a reduction in
the growth rate of the Russian economy. For example, when the economy grew by
8.7% in 2007, for the first 9 months of 2008, growth was 4.9% compared to the
corresponding period of the previous year. 2008 was the last year of growth of
the working-age population. As a result of the financial crisis, government
infrastructure and construction projects have declined.
Vita V.
Hello Vita,
ReplyDeleteI found your article very informative because I didn’t know that Russia was also affected by this crisis and it was interesting to discover in which way. I guess that you know that nowadays economists await another financial crisis which is expected to be even more considerable than the previous one. Do you think that Russia will be able to resist to this crisis? Does it have a stable economy now? Or is it still severely weekend by sanctions after the Ukrainian crisis?
Can’t wait to know your opinion,
Yana L.
Hello Yana,
DeleteYes, indeed, I heard about the impending crisis. I think that due to globalization, most countries, including Russia, will be affected by this crisis.
Today, the economy of Russia is rather unstable, since it mainly depends on oil. Of course, EU sanctions are still in effect, which also negatively affects Russia.
I hope that I answered all your questions.
Best Regards,
Vita
Hello Vita,
ReplyDeleteI really liked your article it was very interesting and I learned many things about the 2008 crisis in Russia. I found out the impact it had on Russia and how people lost confidence in the banking sector at that time. I was wondering if nowadays Russians are more confident in the banking sector or if there is still a big lack of confidence ?
Thank you in advance for your answers !
Anaïs P.
Hello Anaïs,
DeleteThank you for your comment.
Well, I think that even despite the lack of trust in the banking sector, people are forced to take a loan from a bank because of low incomes. Nowadays, many take a mortgage because they cannot afford their own housing.
Best Regards,
Vita