WILL RYANAIR LONG-HAUL AFFAIR TAKE OFF?

Last month, during an interview Michael O’Leary said that within the next ten years, the company would provide connecting flights for the flag carriers.


Irish Ryanair CEO Michael O’Leary never backs down in the face of any provocation. He is well known for his relentless provocations such as toilet fees, standing up passengers, in flight sexual services. But none of these announcements were ever carried out.

Ryanair has long hoped to offer long-distance flights

Ryanair's will to go transatlantic is not recent - its CEO announced many times that he wanted to offer low fares for long-haul destinations. The company obtained a strong position in Europe by reducing every possible cost and expects the same achievement for transatlantic set ups. Regarding the market high fares, Michael O’Leary believes Ryanair has a significant competitive advantage. Furthermore, flights between Europe and the US are very lucrative and giving that only a few low-cost companies are on the market, it would be very profitable for Ryanair to enter.
Although Michael O'Leary declared that he would introduce €14 flights, which makes us wonder about the sustainability of the project.

Long-haul flights' low fares are risky

Many companies went bust trying to offer low fares before and Ryanair may be taking a risk. Even though O'Leary announced that only a few seats would actually cost €14, the average cost would more likely be between 80 and 100 euros. The CEO wants to copy the short-haul model, proposing low fares for economic class and high fares for business class. It may, however, be problematic to maintain the cost savings necessary for cost-effective long-haul routes, even with an expensive business class. Although the short-haul model works thanks to a quick turnover and because passengers are allowed to have and carry the bare minimum on board, it will not be possible for long-haul flights.
Furthermore, in 2013, another low-cost airline called Norwegian Air Shuttle, launched a long-haul service offering a return ticket from London’s Gatwick airport to New York starting at £389. But the expenses of expanding into the US pushed the company into the red.
Long-established airlines are coming back from the crisis and are healthier thanks to the low oil prices, which makes them more competitive. Ryanair would also have to purchase a new fleet of airplanes.

Ryanair could profit from favourable economic conditions

In the meantime, the development of more fuel-efficient aircraft and the low oil rates should give Ryanair some good conditions for expanding and yield higher profits. The company would also have a good positioning compared to the premium and low-cost companies by offering a 65% discount.
Recently Ryanair has also seen a rise in profit hopes after customer service improvements, such as the increase of carry-on luggage and the reduction of punitive charges. The firm has also improved its website and set up a service for business customers.

Ryanair eyes feeding flag carriers

"The board of Ryanair (...) approved development projects for future growth, including a transatlantic project" said the Irish low-cost company. While the Irish low-cost carrier does not have its own long-haul network, Michael O'Leary said that discussions had been initiated to feed intercontinental flights for traditional companies. Air France-KLM and Lufthansa are for example in his sights. “The low-fare airlines will be doing most of the feed for the flag carriers", Ryanair chief executive Michael O’Leary said in an interview.


The long-established airlines will keep on supplying their main hubs but they will count on low-cost companies to deliver passengers to secondary airports across Europe. Mr O'Leary added "It’s not going to happen tomorrow, but in five or 10 years time (...) Lufthansa will continue to serve their main Frankfurt and Munich hubs from the 10 or 20 most important European Union cities (...) But they will say: look, we’re losing money serving the next 20 or 30 European cities - why don’t we do a deal with one of the low-cost carriers?”



A major strategic shift 

In order to seduce the long-haul airlines, Ryanair is now looking to appeal to a broader customer base. It represents a major shift for the company since it will have to change its model, improve its service, add frequencies and target primary airports. It also puts at risks the company because this significant change will perhaps not find the success expected and damage the company. Yet, Michael O’Leary is ready to seize the opportunity and believes that the company's turn will be very profitable in the future, and moreover that the company would benefit from a possible oil crisis. In this event, the long-haul airlines would suffer a lot while Ryanair would gain more customers.


Lucile R.

Comments

  1. Hello Lucile,

    your article is very interesting. I have never taken a low-cost air-plane for a long-haul destination. Do you know if, i.e. Norwegian Air Shuttle is really comfortable for travelers? I mean, for instance, do people have enough place? Or there are seat-back TVs? Meals are included ? Because, for me, if you take an 8-hour flight it is quite cool to have some comfort.

    Kristina C.

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  2. Hello Kristina,

    Thank you for your comment! I am not a specialist of long-haul low-cost companies but I once used one airline named XL airways. Maybe you know it, it is a French firm, which goes to the Caribbean, the United States and other long-haul destinations. Their characteristics are between short-haul low-cost airlines such as Ryanair and long-haul airlines such as Air France. I mean you have to pay to choose your seat, also they give you one meal in the middle of the 9 hours flight and some water but you have to buy anything else you need. And for instance, when I flew with XL airways, many seat-back TVs were broken and the staff only had a few tablets to lend.
    To put it simple, conditions are better than in Ryanair's flights but it is never as good as in traditional airlines. You will always miss or need something that is not included, since the core of the low-cost model is to charge you every extra service.

    Lucile R.

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  3. Hello Lucile

    I think that your article is very interesting, and I would like to give you my point of view on this subject.
    I do believe that lowcost airliners are mean to be regional airliners. When we talk about a longhaul flight, the lowcost business model is not compatible. Lowcost companies in order to reduce operational costs need to cut amenities and operate differently from traditional flag carriers. Operating widebody aircrafts its much more costly than narrowbody ones, flying transcontinentaly means carrying extra fuel and offering a catering service wich implies more costs to companies. I am sure that clients don't care of not having a "nice" service when taking a plane for a short flight, but when it comes to a long-haul flight,clients prefer companies that provide a better service, and that's the reason why Emirates or Etihad are so sucessful on this model.

    Thank you....

    Alonso B.

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  4. Hello Alonso,

    Thank you for sharing your thoughts! I think your comment is very interesting but I do not entirely agree. It's true that many customers will prefer companies that offer better services but I think that Ryanair's offer could answer a need. An exemple I could think of would be expatriates who still have family in their home country and for whom the travel is purely functional.

    Lucile R.

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